A Mathematical Theory of Evidence

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Release : 2020-06-30
Genre : Mathematics
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Book Rating : 697/5 ( reviews)

A Mathematical Theory of Evidence - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook A Mathematical Theory of Evidence write by Glenn Shafer. This book was released on 2020-06-30. A Mathematical Theory of Evidence available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Both in science and in practical affairs we reason by combining facts only inconclusively supported by evidence. Building on an abstract understanding of this process of combination, this book constructs a new theory of epistemic probability. The theory draws on the work of A. P. Dempster but diverges from Depster's viewpoint by identifying his "lower probabilities" as epistemic probabilities and taking his rule for combining "upper and lower probabilities" as fundamental. The book opens with a critique of the well-known Bayesian theory of epistemic probability. It then proceeds to develop an alternative to the additive set functions and the rule of conditioning of the Bayesian theory: set functions that need only be what Choquet called "monotone of order of infinity." and Dempster's rule for combining such set functions. This rule, together with the idea of "weights of evidence," leads to both an extensive new theory and a better understanding of the Bayesian theory. The book concludes with a brief treatment of statistical inference and a discussion of the limitations of epistemic probability. Appendices contain mathematical proofs, which are relatively elementary and seldom depend on mathematics more advanced that the binomial theorem.

A Mathematical Theory of Hints

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Release : 2013-11-11
Genre : Business & Economics
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Book Rating : 745/5 ( reviews)

A Mathematical Theory of Hints - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook A Mathematical Theory of Hints write by Juerg Kohlas. This book was released on 2013-11-11. A Mathematical Theory of Hints available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. An approach to the modeling of and the reasoning under uncertainty. The book develops the Dempster-Shafer Theory with regard to the reliability of reasoning with uncertain arguments. Of particular interest here is the development of a new synthesis and the integration of logic and probability theory. The reader benefits from a new approach to uncertainty modeling which extends classical probability theory.

A Mathematical Theory of Evidence

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Release : 1976
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Book Rating : 087/5 ( reviews)

A Mathematical Theory of Evidence - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook A Mathematical Theory of Evidence write by Glenn Shafer. This book was released on 1976. A Mathematical Theory of Evidence available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.

A Mathematical Theory of Arguments for Statistical Evidence

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Release : 2013-04-18
Genre : Business & Economics
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Book Rating : 463/5 ( reviews)

A Mathematical Theory of Arguments for Statistical Evidence - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook A Mathematical Theory of Arguments for Statistical Evidence write by Paul-Andre Monney. This book was released on 2013-04-18. A Mathematical Theory of Arguments for Statistical Evidence available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. The subject of this book is the reasoning under uncertainty based on sta tistical evidence, where the word reasoning is taken to mean searching for arguments in favor or against particular hypotheses of interest. The kind of reasoning we are using is composed of two aspects. The first one is inspired from classical reasoning in formal logic, where deductions are made from a knowledge base of observed facts and formulas representing the domain spe cific knowledge. In this book, the facts are the statistical observations and the general knowledge is represented by an instance of a special kind of sta tistical models called functional models. The second aspect deals with the uncertainty under which the formal reasoning takes place. For this aspect, the theory of hints [27] is the appropriate tool. Basically, we assume that some uncertain perturbation takes a specific value and then logically eval uate the consequences of this assumption. The original uncertainty about the perturbation is then transferred to the consequences of the assumption. This kind of reasoning is called assumption-based reasoning. Before going into more details about the content of this book, it might be interesting to look briefly at the roots and origins of assumption-based reasoning in the statistical context. In 1930, R. A. Fisher [17] defined the notion of fiducial distribution as the result of a new form of argument, as opposed to the result of the older Bayesian argument.

A Mathematical Theory of Hints

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Release : 1871
Genre : Economics, Mathematical
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A Mathematical Theory of Hints - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook A Mathematical Theory of Hints write by Jürg Kohlas. This book was released on 1871. A Mathematical Theory of Hints available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.