A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections write by Stanley K. Smith. This book was released on 2013-12-16. A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.
State and Local Population Projections
State and Local Population Projections - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook State and Local Population Projections write by Stanley K. Smith. This book was released on 2005-12-21. State and Local Population Projections available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.
Guide for Local Area Population Projections
Guide for Local Area Population Projections - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Guide for Local Area Population Projections write by Richard Irwin. This book was released on 1977. Guide for Local Area Population Projections available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
State and Local Population Projections
State and Local Population Projections - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook State and Local Population Projections write by Stanley K. Smith. This book was released on 2014-01-15. State and Local Population Projections available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
Local Area Population Research and Federal Programs
Local Area Population Research and Federal Programs - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Local Area Population Research and Federal Programs write by Richard A. Engels. This book was released on 1977. Local Area Population Research and Federal Programs available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Population estimates are observed to play a central part in both the qualification of local areas for Federal programs and in the distribution of fiscal assistance funds. General Revenue Sharing is singled out as perhaps the most familiar and well supported program relying, at least in part, upon total population as a distribution mechanism. Local research resulting in population estimates is noted to have been adopted for use in such allocation systems for selected States. The Federal-State Cooperative Program for Local Population Estimates (FSCP) has strengthened these programs through joint State-Census Bureau efforts. It is speculated that similar arrangements may be possible for other currently active legislative programs based upon population characteristics. Contact with a newly formed FSCP subcommittee, a Census Bureau estimating methods research unit, or State-local cooperative groups emerging in some States are suggested potential avenues for local research to impact as many as 103 separate pieces of legislation depending upon some item of population information for operation of the program. Similar opportunities are identified for population projections. Although no legislation contains formal provisions for the use of projections to the degree now specified for current population estimates, projections are relied upon for the administration of programs in the Environmental Protection Agency and in the Department of Transportation. Other instances of projections used in planning applications are identified, as are the likely points of entry for local research work.
