Appeal to Expert Opinion - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Appeal to Expert Opinion write by Douglas Walton. This book was released on 2010-11-01. Appeal to Expert Opinion available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
Appeal to Popular Opinion
Appeal to Popular Opinion - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Appeal to Popular Opinion write by Douglas Walton. This book was released on 2010-11-01. Appeal to Popular Opinion available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
Logically Fallacious
Logically Fallacious - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Logically Fallacious write by Bo Bennett. This book was released on 2012-02-19. Logically Fallacious available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. This book is a crash course in effective reasoning, meant to catapult you into a world where you start to see things how they really are, not how you think they are. The focus of this book is on logical fallacies, which loosely defined, are simply errors in reasoning. With the reading of each page, you can make significant improvements in the way you reason and make decisions. Logically Fallacious is one of the most comprehensive collections of logical fallacies with all original examples and easy to understand descriptions, perfect for educators, debaters, or anyone who wants to improve his or her reasoning skills. "Expose an irrational belief, keep a person rational for a day. Expose irrational thinking, keep a person rational for a lifetime." - Bo Bennett This 2021 Edition includes dozens of more logical fallacies with many updated examples.
Expert Political Judgment
Expert Political Judgment - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Expert Political Judgment write by Philip E. Tetlock. This book was released on 2017-08-29. Expert Political Judgment available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Mass Appeal
Mass Appeal - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Mass Appeal write by Justin Gest. This book was released on 2020. Mass Appeal available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Public policy education is oriented around the development of innovative ideas for how to improve governance and make society better. However, it undervalues a critical tool for translating policy ideas into action: the ability to communicate ideas broadly, strategically, and effectively. Drawing on his past frustration with translating his research from academia to the public sphere, Justin Gest has written a primer for public policy students, researchers, and policy professionals on how to turn analyses and memos into clear and persuasive campaigns. This book outlines the principles, structure, and target audience for different media essential to policy communication. Including advice from practitioners and illustrative examples, Gest explains the indispensability of pithiness to clear communication and how to achieve it.
