Belief, Evidence, and Uncertainty

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Release : 2016-03-04
Genre : Science
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Book Rating : 723/5 ( reviews)

Belief, Evidence, and Uncertainty - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Belief, Evidence, and Uncertainty write by Prasanta S. Bandyopadhyay. This book was released on 2016-03-04. Belief, Evidence, and Uncertainty available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. This work breaks new ground by carefully distinguishing the concepts of belief, confirmation, and evidence and then integrating them into a better understanding of personal and scientific epistemologies. It outlines a probabilistic framework in which subjective features of personal knowledge and objective features of public knowledge have their true place. It also discusses the bearings of some statistical theorems on both formal and traditional epistemologies while showing how some of the existing paradoxes in both can be resolved with the help of this framework.This book has two central aims: First, to make precise a distinction between the concepts of confirmation and evidence and to argue that failure to recognize this distinction is the source of certain otherwise intractable epistemological problems. The second goal is to demonstrate to philosophers the fundamental importance of statistical and probabilistic methods, at stake in the uncertain conditions in which for the most part we lead our lives, not simply to inferential practice in science, where they are now standard, but to epistemic inference in other contexts as well. Although the argument is rigorous, it is also accessible. No technical knowledge beyond the rudiments of probability theory, arithmetic, and algebra is presupposed, otherwise unfamiliar terms are always defined and a number of concrete examples are given. At the same time, fresh analyses are offered with a discussion of statistical and epistemic reasoning by philosophers. This book will also be of interest to scientists and statisticians looking for a larger view of their own inferential techniques.The book concludes with a technical appendix which introduces an evidential approach to multi-model inference as an alternative to Bayesian model averaging.

Uncertain Belief

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Release : 1996-03-14
Genre : Religion
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Book Rating : 738/5 ( reviews)

Uncertain Belief - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Uncertain Belief write by David J. Bartholomew. This book was released on 1996-03-14. Uncertain Belief available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. The certainties which once underpinned Christian belief have crumbled in a world where science sets the standard for what is true. A rational case for belief must therefore be constructed out of uncertainties. Probability theory provides the tools for measuring and combining uncertainties and is thus the key to progress. This book examines four much debated topics where the logic of uncertain inference can be brought to bear. These are: miracles, the paranormal, God's existence, and the Bible. Given the great diversity of evidence, it is not surprising that opposite conclusions have been drawn by supposedly rational people. An assessment of the state of argument from a probabilistic perspective is overdue. In this book Professor Bartholomew examines and refutes some of the more extravagent claims, evaluates the weight of some of the quantitive evidence, and provides an answer to the fundamental question: is it rational to be a Christian?

When in Doubt, Make Belief

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Release : 2011-02-09
Genre : Self-Help
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Book Rating : 095/5 ( reviews)

When in Doubt, Make Belief - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook When in Doubt, Make Belief write by Jeff Bell. This book was released on 2011-02-09. When in Doubt, Make Belief available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. When in doubt, make belief. For author and news anchor Jeff Bell, these are words to live by. Literally. As someone who has spent much of his life battling severe obsessive compulsive disorder (OCD), Bell has had to overcome crippling uncertainty few people can imagine. In this powerful follow-up to his critically acclaimed memoir, Rewind, Replay, Repeat, Bell expounds on the principles of applied belief that allowed him to make such a remarkable recovery from this “doubting disease” and the lessons he’s learned while traveling the country talking about doubt. With the help of more than a dozen leading experts, Bell offers readers practical techniques for pushing through the discomfort of uncertainty — whether it stems from OCD or just everyday worries — and demonstrates how a shift from decisions based on fear and doubt to ones based on purpose and service can transform any life. Featuring interviews with Sylvia Boorstein, Patty Duke, Dan Millman, Leon Panetta, Tom Sullivan, and others

Belief, Credibility, Disbelief, Possibility, Potential Surprise and Probability as Measures of Uncertainty

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Release : 1994
Genre : Economics
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Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)

Belief, Credibility, Disbelief, Possibility, Potential Surprise and Probability as Measures of Uncertainty - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Belief, Credibility, Disbelief, Possibility, Potential Surprise and Probability as Measures of Uncertainty write by J. L. Ford. This book was released on 1994. Belief, Credibility, Disbelief, Possibility, Potential Surprise and Probability as Measures of Uncertainty available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.

Uncertainty

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Release : 2020
Genre : Philosophy
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Book Rating : 660/5 ( reviews)

Uncertainty - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Uncertainty write by Kostas Kampourakis. This book was released on 2020. Uncertainty available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Anti-evolutionists, climate denialists, and anti-vaxxers, among others, question some of the best-established scientific findings by referring to the uncertainties in these areas of research. Uncertainty: How It Makes Science Advance shows that uncertainty is an inherent feature of science that makes it advance by motivating further research.