Cognition and Chance - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Cognition and Chance write by Raymond S. Nickerson. This book was released on 2004-06-24. Cognition and Chance available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Lack of ability to think probabilistically makes one prone to a variety of irrational fears and vulnerable to scams designed to exploit probabilistic naiveté, impairs decision making under uncertainty, facilitates the misinterpretation of statistical information, and precludes critical evaluation of likelihood claims. Cognition and Chance presents an overview of the information needed to avoid such pitfalls and to assess and respond to probabilistic situations in a rational way. Dr. Nickerson investigates such questions as how good individuals are at thinking probabilistically and how consistent their reasoning under uncertainty is with principles of mathematical statistics and probability theory. He reviews evidence that has been produced in researchers' attempts to investigate these and similar types of questions. Seven conceptual chapters address such topics as probability, chance, randomness, coincidences, inverse probability, paradoxes, dilemmas, and statistics. The remaining five chapters focus on empirical studies of individuals' abilities and limitations as probabilistic thinkers. Topics include estimation and prediction, perception of covariation, choice under uncertainty, and people as intuitive probabilists. Cognition and Chance is intended to appeal to researchers and students in the areas of probability, statistics, psychology, business, economics, decision theory, and social dilemmas.
Cognition and Chance
Cognition and Chance - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Cognition and Chance write by Raymond S. Nickerson. This book was released on 2004-06-24. Cognition and Chance available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. This book presents an overview of the necessary information needed to make educational assumptions about the statistical or probable characteristics of a situation. The book can be used as a supplemental text in courses on probability, logic, statistics,
Cognition as Intuitive Statistics
Cognition as Intuitive Statistics - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Cognition as Intuitive Statistics write by Gerd Gigerenzer. This book was released on 2015-08-14. Cognition as Intuitive Statistics available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Originally published in 1987, this title is about theory construction in psychology. Where theories come from, as opposed to how they become established, was almost a no-man’s land in the history and philosophy of science at the time. The authors argue that in the science of mind, theories are particularly likely to come from tools, and they are especially concerned with the emergence of the metaphor of the mind as an intuitive statistician. In the first chapter, the authors discuss the rise of the inference revolution, which institutionalized those statistical tools that later became theories of cognitive processes. In each of the four following chapters they treat one major topic of cognitive psychology and show to what degree statistical concepts transformed their understanding of those topics.
Thinking, Fast and Slow
Thinking, Fast and Slow - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Thinking, Fast and Slow write by Daniel Kahneman. This book was released on 2011-10-25. Thinking, Fast and Slow available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. *Major New York Times Bestseller *More than 2.6 million copies sold *One of The New York Times Book Review's ten best books of the year *Selected by The Wall Street Journal as one of the best nonfiction books of the year *Presidential Medal of Freedom Recipient *Daniel Kahneman's work with Amos Tversky is the subject of Michael Lewis's best-selling The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds In his mega bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, world-famous psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacation—each of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems shape our judgments and decisions. Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, Kahneman reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and our personal lives—and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. Topping bestseller lists for almost ten years, Thinking, Fast and Slow is a contemporary classic, an essential book that has changed the lives of millions of readers.
Semantic Cognition
Semantic Cognition - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Semantic Cognition write by Timothy T. Rogers. This book was released on 2004. Semantic Cognition available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. A mechanistic theory of the representation and use of semantic knowledge that uses distributed connectionist networks as a starting point for a psychological theory of semantic cognition.
