COVID-19 and the Egyptian economy: Estimating the impacts of expected reductions in tourism, Suez Canal revenues, and remittances

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Release : 2020-04-01
Genre : Political Science
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COVID-19 and the Egyptian economy: Estimating the impacts of expected reductions in tourism, Suez Canal revenues, and remittances - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook COVID-19 and the Egyptian economy: Estimating the impacts of expected reductions in tourism, Suez Canal revenues, and remittances write by Breisinger, Clemens. This book was released on 2020-04-01. COVID-19 and the Egyptian economy: Estimating the impacts of expected reductions in tourism, Suez Canal revenues, and remittances available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Egypt’s recent economic success will almost certainly be interrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. We examine the likely impact on the Egyptian economy of a significant reduction in tourism, payments received from the Suez Canal, and remittances from Egyptians working abroad because of the slowdown in the global economy due to the COVID-19 virus. Our results suggest that COVID-19 could reduce national GDP by between 0.7 and 0.8 percent (EGP 36 to 41 billion) for each month that the global crisis continues. Similarly, household consumption and expenditure is estimated to decline on average by between EGP 153 and EGP 180 per person per month, which is between 9.0 and 10.6 percent of average household income. The cumulative loss in GDP from these three external shocks alone could amount to between 2.1 and 4.8 percent of annual GDP in 2020 if the crisis lasts for 3 to 6 months. While the country’s focus currently is rightly on fighting the health crisis and mitigating its immediate impacts, planning on how to re-open the economy should also start now.

Impact of COVID-19 on the Egyptian economy: Economic sectors, jobs, and households

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Release : 2020-06-15
Genre : Political Science
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Impact of COVID-19 on the Egyptian economy: Economic sectors, jobs, and households - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Impact of COVID-19 on the Egyptian economy: Economic sectors, jobs, and households write by Breisinger, Clemens. This book was released on 2020-06-15. Impact of COVID-19 on the Egyptian economy: Economic sectors, jobs, and households available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. The COVID-19 crisis may lead to a 1.1 percent decline in Egypt’s GDP during the 4th quarter (April to June) of the 2019/20 fiscal year, compared to the same quarter in 2018/19. Without the Government of Egypt’s COVID-19 emergency response package, GDP in Q4 may have declined by 8.7 percent. Tak-ing the emergency response pack-age into account, we estimate an annual growth rate of 3.8 percent for FY 2019/20. Without the emer-gency response package, annual growth for FY 2019/20 may have been as low as 1.9 percent. The services sector is hit hardest, falling by 10.9 percent, followed by industry at -8.3 percent. Agriculture is the most resilient sector. However, these losses are lower than those expected in comparable countries, especially those that resorted to extended periods of full lockdowns. Impacts on Egypt’s agri-food system are less severe than elsewhere in the economy. Most damage will occur in nonfarm components of the agri-food system due to falling consumer demand. Although higher-income households face the largest income losses, lower-income households also will see their incomes decline significantly. The level of social protection required to fully offset the income losses of poor households is likely to be prohibitive, especially given falling revenues from reduced economic activity. Continuing to gradually open the economy again will be critical for avoiding permanent job losses and increases in poverty for the coming year. The process of re-opening the economy may also provide opportunities for fostering more private sector-driven and sustainable economic transformation.

COVID-19 and global food security

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Release : 2020-07-27
Genre : Political Science
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Book Rating : 874/5 ( reviews)

COVID-19 and global food security - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook COVID-19 and global food security write by Swinnen, Johan, ed.. This book was released on 2020-07-27. COVID-19 and global food security available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. The coronavirus pandemic has sparked not only a health crisis but also an economic crisis, which together pose a serious threat to food security, particularly in poorer countries. COVID-19 & Global Food Security brings together a groundbreaking series of IFPRI blog posts looking at the impacts of COVID-19 and the policy responses. IFPRI researchers and guest bloggers provide key insights and analysis on how the global pandemic is affecting global poverty and food security and nutrition, food trade and supply chains, gender, employment, and a variety of policy interventions, as well as reflections on how we can use these lessons to better prepare for future pandemics. These pieces draw on a combination of conceptual arguments, global and country-level simulation models, in-country surveys, case studies, and expert opinions. Together, they present a comprehensive picture of the current and potential impact of COVID-19 and the world’s policy responses on global food and nutrition security.

COVID-19 and the Egyptian Economy: From reopening to recovery: Alternative pathways and impacts on sectors, jobs, and households

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Release : 2020-11-24
Genre : Political Science
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COVID-19 and the Egyptian Economy: From reopening to recovery: Alternative pathways and impacts on sectors, jobs, and households - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook COVID-19 and the Egyptian Economy: From reopening to recovery: Alternative pathways and impacts on sectors, jobs, and households write by Breisinger, Clemens. This book was released on 2020-11-24. COVID-19 and the Egyptian Economy: From reopening to recovery: Alternative pathways and impacts on sectors, jobs, and households available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Although the global economy is forecasted to shrink by 4.4 percent in 2020 (IMF 2020), the Egyptian economy is proving resilient to the immense human and financial costs caused by the global COVID-19 pandemic. This resilience is mainly explained by the successful implementation of the economic reform program since 2016 that provided more fiscal space to withstand the adverse impact of the COVID-19 crisis. However, that Egypt’s economy is holding up is also due to the rapid response and proactive measures to limit the impact of the virus that were implemented by the Egyptian Government since March 2020 (MPED 2020). These enabled the country to avoid a full lockdown policy (Figure 1). While Egypt posted negative economic growth rates from April to June 2020 at the height of the crisis, overall economic growth was still positive at 3.6 percent for fiscal year (FY) 2019/20. This estimate is only slightly lower than the initial projection of the impact of the pandemic on Egypt’s economy of an annual economic growth equal to 3.8 percent, as estimated by staff of the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) and the Ministry of Planning and Economic Development (MPED) (Breisinger et al. 2020). The deviation between the early and final estimate can be mainly explained by the lower than expected growth rates in the manufacturing and health services sectors and the better than expected performance of the trade and transport sectors.

Handbook of Research on Urban Tourism, Viral Society, and the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic

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Release : 2022-06-30
Genre : Business & Economics
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Book Rating : 710/5 ( reviews)

Handbook of Research on Urban Tourism, Viral Society, and the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Handbook of Research on Urban Tourism, Viral Society, and the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic write by Andrade, Pedro. This book was released on 2022-06-30. Handbook of Research on Urban Tourism, Viral Society, and the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. The tourism and hospitality industries have faced major setbacks in recent years as they have had to combat various challenges such as the COVID-19 pandemic and a rapidly evolving global market. In order to ensure these industries are prepared for future crises, further study on the best practices and strategies for handling difficult times and managing growth is critical. The Handbook of Research on Urban Tourism, Viral Society, and the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic provides innovative research and perspectives on the revitalization of cultural tourism industries and services by addressing the creation of jobs in the areas of restoration, leisure, and culture. The book also analyzes how the tourism industry has handled global crises in the past and proposes business models for information and knowledge dissemination to appropriately handle disasters. Covering critical topics such as digital media and risk management, this major reference work is ideal for industry professionals, government officials, policymakers, researchers, academicians, scholars, practitioners, instructors, and students.