Cross-Border Transmission of Fiscal Shocks: The Role of Monetary Conditions - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Cross-Border Transmission of Fiscal Shocks: The Role of Monetary Conditions write by Patrick Blagrave. This book was released on 2018-05-09. Cross-Border Transmission of Fiscal Shocks: The Role of Monetary Conditions available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Fiscal stimulus was widely advocated during the global crisis, a period characterized by monetary policy constrained by the effective lower bound (ELB) in many countries, in part because of expected positive spillovers. Standard New Keynesian models predict the cross-border transmission of fiscal shocks is stronger when monetary policy is constrained in recipients. However, the empirical evidence is scarce. This paper bridges this gap by looking at the impact of fiscal shocks in systemic (source) economies on output and demand components in a large group of (recipient) countries, under different monetary policy conditions. Empirical results are compared to simulations with a state-of-the-art estimated open-economy New Keynesian model. Our results corroborate model predictions, finding larger spillovers when recipients are at the ELB, driven by stronger responses of investment and consumption relative to normal times
Fiscal Spillovers
Fiscal Spillovers - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Fiscal Spillovers write by Patrick Blagrave. This book was released on 2017-10-18. Fiscal Spillovers available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Are fiscal spillovers today as large as they were during the global financial crisis? How do they depend on economic and policy conditions? This note informs the debate on the cross-border impact of fiscal policy on economic activity, shedding light on the magnitude and the factors affecting transmission, such as the fiscal instruments used, cyclical positions, monetary policy conditions, and exchange rate regimes. The note assesses spillovers from five major advanced economies (France, Germany, Japan, United Kingdom, United States) on 55 advanced and emerging market economies that represent 85 percent of global output, looking at government-spending and tax revenue shocks during expansion and consolidation episodes. It finds that fiscal spillovers are economically significant in the presence of slack and/or accommodative monetary policy—and considerably smaller otherwise, which suggests that spillovers are large when domestic multipliers are also large. It also finds that spillovers from government-spending shocks are larger and more persistent than those from tax shocks and that transmission may be stronger among countries with fixed exchange rates. The evidence suggests that although spillovers from fiscal policies in the current environment may not be as large as they were during the crisis, they may still be important under certain economic circumstances.
International Fiscal-financial Spillovers: The Effect of Fiscal Shocks on Cross-border Bank Lending
International Fiscal-financial Spillovers: The Effect of Fiscal Shocks on Cross-border Bank Lending - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook International Fiscal-financial Spillovers: The Effect of Fiscal Shocks on Cross-border Bank Lending write by Sangyup Choi. This book was released on 2019-07-12. International Fiscal-financial Spillovers: The Effect of Fiscal Shocks on Cross-border Bank Lending available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. This paper sheds new light on the degree of international fiscal-financial spillovers by investigating the effect of domestic fiscal policies on cross-border bank lending. By estimating the dynamic response of U.S. cross-border bank lending towards the 45 recipient countries to exogenous domestic fiscal shocks (both measured by spending and revenue) between 1990Q1 and 2012Q4, we find that expansionary domestic fiscal shocks lead to a statistically significant increase in cross-border bank lending. The magnitude of the effect is also economically significant: the effect of 1 percent of GDP increase (decrease) in spending (revenue) is comparable to an exogenous decline in the federal funds rate. We also find that fiscal shocks tend to have larger effects during periods of recessions than expansions in the source country, and that the adverse effect of a fiscal consolidation is larger than the positive effect of the same size of a fiscal expansion. In contrast, we do not find systematic and statistically significant differences in the spillover effects across recipient countries depending on their exchange rate regime, although capital controls seem to play some moderating role. The extension of the analysis to a panel of 16 small open economies confirms the finding from the U.S. economy.
Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies
Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies write by Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques. This book was released on 2020-02-21. Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Central banks in emerging and developing economies (EMDEs) have been modernizing their monetary policy frameworks, often moving toward inflation targeting (IT). However, questions regarding the strength of monetary policy transmission from interest rates to inflation and output have often stalled progress. We conduct a novel empirical analysis using Jordà’s (2005) approach for 40 EMDEs to shed a light on monetary transmission in these countries. We find that interest rate hikes reduce output growth and inflation, once we explicitly account for the behavior of the exchange rate. Having a modern monetary policy framework—adopting IT and independent and transparent central banks—matters more for monetary transmission than financial development.
The Handbook of Global Shadow Banking, Volume I
The Handbook of Global Shadow Banking, Volume I - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Handbook of Global Shadow Banking, Volume I write by Luc Nijs. This book was released on 2020-06-30. The Handbook of Global Shadow Banking, Volume I available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. This global handbook provides an up-to-date and comprehensive overview of shadow banking, or market-based finance as it has been recently coined. Engaging in financial intermediary services outside of normal regulatory parameters, the shadow banking sector was arguably a critical factor in causing the 2007-2009 financial crisis. This volume focuses specifically on shadow banking activities, risk, policy and regulatory issues. It evaluates the nexus between policy design and regulatory output around the world, paying attention to the concept of risk in all its dimensions—the legal, financial, market, economic and monetary perspectives. Particular attention is given to spillover risk, contagion risk and systemic risk and their positioning and relevance in shadow banking activities. Newly introduced and incoming policies are evaluated in detail, as well as how risk is managed, observed and assessed, and how new regulation can potentially create new sources of risk. Volume I concludes with analysis of what will and still needs to happen in the event of another crisis. Proposing innovative suggestions for improvement, including a novel Pigovian tax to tame financial and systemic risks, this handbook is a must-read for professionals and policy-makers within the banking sector, as well as those researching economics and finance.
