Debt Overhang, Rollover Risk, and Corporate Investment - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Debt Overhang, Rollover Risk, and Corporate Investment write by Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan. This book was released on 2018. Debt Overhang, Rollover Risk, and Corporate Investment available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. We quantify the role of financial factors that have contributed to sluggish investment in Europe in the aftermath of the 2008-2009 crisis. Using a big data approach, we match the firms to their banks based on banking relationships in 8 European countries over time, obtaining over 2 million observations. We document four stylized facts. First, the decline in investment in the aftermath of the crisis can be linked to higher leverage, increased debt service, and having a relationship with a weak bank-once we condition on aggregate demand shocks. Second, the relation between leverage and investment depends on the maturity structure of debt: firms with a higher share of long-term debt have higher investment rates relative to firms with a lower share of long-term debt since the rollover risk for the former is lower and the latter is higher. Third, the negative effect of leverage is more pronounced when firms are linked to weak banks, i.e., banks with high exposure to sovereign risk. Firms with higher shares of short-term debt decrease investment more relative to firms with lower shares of short-term debt even both set of firms linked to weak banks. This result suggests that loan evergreening by weak banks played a limited role in increasing investment. Fourth, the direct negative effect of weak banks on the average firm's invest- ment disappears once demand shocks are controlled for, although the differential effects with respect to leverage and the maturity of debt remain.
Debt Overhang, Rollover Risk, and Coporate Investment
Debt Overhang, Rollover Risk, and Coporate Investment - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Debt Overhang, Rollover Risk, and Coporate Investment write by Sebnem Kalemli-Özcan. This book was released on 2019. Debt Overhang, Rollover Risk, and Coporate Investment available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. We quantify the role of financial factors behind the sluggish post-crisis performance of European firms. We use a firm-bank-sovereign matched database to identify separate roles for firm and bank balance sheet weaknesses arising from changes in sovereign risk and aggregate demand conditions. We find that firms with higher debt levels and a higher share of short-term debt reduce their investment more after the crisis. This negative effect is stronger for firms linked to weak banks with exposures to sovereign risk, signifying increased rollover risk. These financial channels explain about 60% of the decline in aggregate corporate investment.
Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus
Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus write by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia. This book was released on 2018-09-07. Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.
Leverage Shocks: Firm-Level Evidence on Debt Overhang and Investment
Leverage Shocks: Firm-Level Evidence on Debt Overhang and Investment - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Leverage Shocks: Firm-Level Evidence on Debt Overhang and Investment write by Mr.Serhan Cevik. This book was released on 2020-12-18. Leverage Shocks: Firm-Level Evidence on Debt Overhang and Investment available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. The global economy is in the midst of an unprecedented slump caused by the coronavirus pandemic. This systemic risk like no other at a time of record-breaking debt levels, especially among nonfinancial firms across the world, could exacerbate corporate vulnerabilities, deepen macro-financial instability, and cause long-lasting damage to economic potential. Using data on more than 2.8 million nonfinancial firms from 52 countries during the period 1997–2018, we develop a two-pronged approach to investigate the relationship between corporate leverage and fixed investment spending. The empirical analysis, robust to a battery of sensitivity checks, confirm corporate leverage is highly vulnerable to disruptions in profitability and cash flow at the firm level and economic growth at the aggregate level. These findings imply that corporate debt overhang could become a strenuous burden on nonfinancial firms, especially if the COVID-19 pandemic lingers and global downturn becomes protracted.
Global Waves of Debt
Global Waves of Debt - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Global Waves of Debt write by M. Ayhan Kose. This book was released on 2021-03-03. Global Waves of Debt available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.
