Error and Inference

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Release : 2009-10-26
Genre : Science
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Book Rating : 369/5 ( reviews)

Error and Inference - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Error and Inference write by Deborah G. Mayo. This book was released on 2009-10-26. Error and Inference available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Although both philosophers and scientists are interested in how to obtain reliable knowledge in the face of error, there is a gap between their perspectives that has been an obstacle to progress. By means of a series of exchanges between the editors and leaders from the philosophy of science, statistics and economics, this volume offers a cumulative introduction connecting problems of traditional philosophy of science to problems of inference in statistical and empirical modelling practice. Philosophers of science and scientific practitioners are challenged to reevaluate the assumptions of their own theories - philosophical or methodological. Practitioners may better appreciate the foundational issues around which their questions revolve and thereby become better 'applied philosophers'. Conversely, new avenues emerge for finally solving recalcitrant philosophical problems of induction, explanation and theory testing.

Statistical Inference as Severe Testing

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Release : 2018-09-20
Genre : Mathematics
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Book Rating : 309/5 ( reviews)

Statistical Inference as Severe Testing - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Statistical Inference as Severe Testing write by Deborah G. Mayo. This book was released on 2018-09-20. Statistical Inference as Severe Testing available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.

Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge

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Release : 1996-07-15
Genre : Mathematics
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Book Rating : 979/5 ( reviews)

Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge write by Deborah G. Mayo. This book was released on 1996-07-15. Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Preface1: Learning from Error 2: Ducks, Rabbits, and Normal Science: Recasting the Kuhn's-Eye View of Popper 3: The New Experimentalism and the Bayesian Way 4: Duhem, Kuhn, and Bayes 5: Models of Experimental Inquiry 6: Severe Tests and Methodological Underdetermination7: The Experimental Basis from Which to Test Hypotheses: Brownian Motion8: Severe Tests and Novel Evidence 9: Hunting and Snooping: Understanding the Neyman-Pearson Predesignationist Stance10: Why You Cannot Be Just a Little Bit Bayesian 11: Why Pearson Rejected the Neyman-Pearson (Behavioristic) Philosophy and a Note on Objectivity in Statistics12: Error Statistics and Peircean Error Correction 13: Toward an Error-Statistical Philosophy of Science ReferencesIndex Copyright © Libri GmbH. All rights reserved.

Error and Inference

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Release : 2011
Genre : Business & Economics
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Book Rating : 252/5 ( reviews)

Error and Inference - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Error and Inference write by Deborah G. Mayo. This book was released on 2011. Error and Inference available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Explores the nature of error and inference, drawing on exchanges on experimental reasoning, reliability, and the objectivity of science.

Errors of Reasoning. Naturalizing the Logic of Inference

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Release : 2013-07
Genre : Philosophy
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Book Rating : 148/5 ( reviews)

Errors of Reasoning. Naturalizing the Logic of Inference - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Errors of Reasoning. Naturalizing the Logic of Inference write by John Woods. This book was released on 2013-07. Errors of Reasoning. Naturalizing the Logic of Inference available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Errors of Reasoning is the long-awaited continuation of the author's investigation of the logic of cognitive systems. The present focus is the individual human reasoner operating under the conditions and pressures of real life with capacities and resources the natural world makes available to him. The ensuing logic is thus agent-centred, goal-directed, and time-and-action oriented. It is also as psychologically real a logic as consistent with lawlike regularities of the better-developed empirical sciences of cognition. A point of departure for the book is that good reasoning is typically reasoning that does not meet the orthodox logician's requirements of either deductive validity or the sort of inductive strength sought for by the statistico-empirical sciences. A central objective here is to fashion a logic for this "third-way" reasoning. In so doing, substantial refinements are proposed for mainline treatments of nonmonotonic, defeasible, autoepistemic and default reasoning. A further departure from orthodox orientations is the eschewal of all idealizations short of those required for the descriptive adequacy of the relevant parts of empirical science. Also banned is any unearned assumption of a logic's normative authority to judge inferential behaviour as it actually occurs on the ground. The logic that emerges is therefore a naturalized logic, a proposed transformation of orthodox logics in the manner of the naturalization, more than forty years ago, of the traditional approaches to analytic epistemology. A byproduct of the transformation is the abandonment of justification as a general condition of knowledge, especially in third-way contexts. A test case for this new approach is an account of erroneous reasoning, including inferences usually judged fallacious, that outperforms its rivals in theoretical depth and empirical sensitivity. Errors of Reasoning is required reading in all research communities that seek a realistic understanding of human inference: Logic, formal and informal, AI and the other branches of cognitive science, argumentation theory, and theories of legal reasoning. Indeed the book is a standing challenge to all normatively idealized theories of assessable human performance. John Woods is Director of The Abductive Systems Group at the University of British Columbia, and was formerly the Charles S. Peirce Professor of Logic in the Group on Logic and Computation in the Department of Computer Science, King's College London. He is author of Paradox and Paraconsistency (2003) and with Dov Gabbay, of Agenda Relevance (2003) and The Reach of Abduction (2005). His pathbreaking The Logic of Fiction appeared in 1974, with a second edition by College Publications, 2009.