Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles

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Release : 1994-03-31
Genre : Business & Economics
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Book Rating : 442/5 ( reviews)

Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles write by Michael P. Niemira. This book was released on 1994-03-31. Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Gain the knowledge and skills that can help you exploit instability. No book can help you construct foolproof forecasting systems that will ensure you'll accurately predict economic turning points every time. But with Niemira and Klein's Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles on hand, you'll be able to significantly strengthen your ability to measure, monitor, and forecast important fluctuations. Part history, it provides you with essential background material on the characteristics and causes of economic volatility. It offers accessible coverage of the classical business cycle, the five basic types of economic cycles as determined by leading economists, and evolving ideas on the forces driving instability—ranging from simple unicausal theories, more complex Keynesian theory, to new classical macroeconomics. In addition, its concise review of America's economic past highlights the lessons that can be learned from the various cycles experienced since shortly before World War II. Part handbook, Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles presents the full spectrum of statistical techniques used to measure cycles, trends, seasonal patterns, and other vital changes, offering you step-by-step guidance on applying a specific method and detailing its uses and limitations. It goes on to show how youcan adapt particular techniques to assess, track, and predict: Industry cycles—including an objective, tailor-made forecasting tool Regional business cycles—including a survey of regional indicators International business cycles—with an international business cycle chronology Inflation cycles—plus "12 little-known facts" about this complex cycle Financial cycles—covering credit, monetary, and interest rate cycles Stock market cycles—with advice on achieving more disciplined trading Based on outstanding scholarship and years of practical experience, Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles will serve as an invaluable tool for practitioners like you whose decision-making—and profit margin—depend on accurately assessing today's often uncertain economic climate. "Forecasting Financialand Economic Cycles provides a lively survey of the many ways that cyclical economic activity has been dissected and analyzed. With this book, an astute reader may even be able to anticipate the next cyclical turn." —Samuel D. Kahan, Chief Economist Fuji Securities, Inc. "The definitive book on the most important and enduringfeature of an often mist-bound economic landscape: the business cycle." —Alfred L. Malabre, Jr., Economics Editor, The Wall Street,Journal "Niemira and Klein cover both the theory of economic cyclesand methods for forecasting them. They provide one of the most comprehensive and current reviews of academic studies of economic cycles to be found anywhere." —Anthony F. Herbst, Professor of Finance, The University of Texas at El Paso "This book succeeds as a comprehensive, balanced, and accessible treatment of fluctuations in economic and financial activity. It should prove useful to all those in industry and finance who wish to understand and analyze the trends and changes in the modern dynamic economy." —Victor Zarnowitz, Professor Emeritus of Economics and Finance, University of Chicago

Dynamics of Forecasting Financial Cycles

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Author :
Release : 1976
Genre : Business & Economics
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Book Rating : /5 ( reviews)

Dynamics of Forecasting Financial Cycles - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Dynamics of Forecasting Financial Cycles write by Lacy H. Hunt. This book was released on 1976. Dynamics of Forecasting Financial Cycles available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.

Business Cycles

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Release : 2007-11-01
Genre : Business & Economics
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Book Rating : 923/5 ( reviews)

Business Cycles - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Business Cycles write by Victor Zarnowitz. This book was released on 2007-11-01. Business Cycles available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.

Business Cycles

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Release : 1999-04-12
Genre : Business & Economics
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Book Rating : 186/5 ( reviews)

Business Cycles - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Business Cycles write by Francis X. Diebold. This book was released on 1999-04-12. Business Cycles available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Table of Contents

Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis

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Release : 2013-01-04
Genre : Business & Economics
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Book Rating : 392/5 ( reviews)

Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis write by John B. Guerard, Jr.. This book was released on 2013-01-04. Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Forecasting—the art and science of predicting future outcomes—has become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and investing decisions. With an emphasis on "earnings per share" (eps), the author presents a data-oriented text on financial forecasting, understanding financial data, assessing firm financial strategies (such as share buybacks and R&D spending), creating efficient portfolios, and hedging stock portfolios with financial futures. The opening chapters explain how to understand economic fluctuations and how the stock market leads the general economic trend; introduce the concept of portfolio construction and how movements in the economy influence stock price movements; and introduce the reader to the forecasting process, including exponential smoothing and time series model estimations. Subsequent chapters examine the composite index of leading economic indicators (LEI); review financial statement analysis and mean-variance efficient portfolios; and assess the effectiveness of analysts’ earnings forecasts. Using data from such firms as Intel, General Electric, and Hitachi, Guerard demonstrates how forecasting tools can be applied to understand the business cycle, evaluate market risk, and demonstrate the impact of global stock selection modeling and portfolio construction.