Little Bets - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Little Bets write by Peter Sims. This book was released on 2011-04-19. Little Bets available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. “An enthusiastic, example-rich argument for innovating in a particular way—by deliberately experimenting and taking small exploratory steps in novel directions. Light, bright, and packed with tidy anecdotes” (The Wall Street Journal). What do Apple CEO Steve Jobs, comedian Chris Rock, prize-winning architect Frank Gehry, and the story developers at Pixar films all have in common? Bestselling author Peter Sims found that rather than start with a big idea or plan a whole project in advance, they make a methodical series of little bets, learning critical information from lots of little failures and from small but significant wins. Reporting on a fascinating range of research, from the psychology of creative blocks to the influential field of design thinking, Sims offers engaging and illuminating accounts of breakthrough innovators at work, and a whole new way of thinking about how to navigate uncertain situations and unleash our untapped creative powers.
Thinking in Bets
Thinking in Bets - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Thinking in Bets write by Annie Duke. This book was released on 2019-05-07. Thinking in Bets available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. A Wall Street Journal bestseller, now in paperback. Poker champion turned decision strategist Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions. Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there's always information hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes, and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate, and successful in the long run.
Trading Bases
Trading Bases - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Trading Bases write by Joe Peta. This book was released on 2014-03-04. Trading Bases available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. An ex–Wall Street trader improved on Moneyball’s famed sabermetrics and beat the Vegas odds with his own betting methods. Here is the story of how Joe Peta turned fantasy baseball into a dream come true. Joe Peta turned his back on his Wall Street trading career to pursue an ingenious—and incredibly risky—dream. He would apply his risk-analysis skills to Major League Baseball, and treat the sport like the S&P 500. In Trading Bases, Peta takes us on his journey from the ballpark in San Francisco to the trading floors and baseball bars of New York and the sportsbooks of Las Vegas, telling the story of how he created a baseball “hedge fund” with an astounding 41 percent return in his first year. And he explains the unique methods he developed. Along the way, Peta provides insight into the Wall Street crisis he managed to escape: the fragility of the midnineties investment model; the disgraced former CEO of Lehman Brothers, who recruited Peta; and the high-adrenaline atmosphere where million-dollar sports-betting pools were common.
Big Bad-Ass Book of Bar Bets and Drinking Games
Big Bad-Ass Book of Bar Bets and Drinking Games - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Big Bad-Ass Book of Bar Bets and Drinking Games write by Jordana Tusman. This book was released on 2012-02-28. Big Bad-Ass Book of Bar Bets and Drinking Games available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Spice up a night out (or in) with hundreds of classics and 100% new drinking games and bar bets. Big Bad-Ass Book of Bar Tricks and Drinking Games is a handy, illustrated guide to 100 bar bets involving flying bottle caps, disappearing coins, animated cocktail napkins, and much more. Following the bar bets are 100 drinking games that keep the party going, with intriguing names such as Flip ‘n’ Strip, Snake Eyes, Shipwreck, and Death by Doubles. Easy-to-follow instructions—complete with illustrations—guarantee readers will be prepared to impress while having a great time.
Calculated Bets
Calculated Bets - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Calculated Bets write by Steven S. Skiena. This book was released on 2001-08-06. Calculated Bets available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. A story of using computer simulations and mathematical modeling techniques to predict the outcome of jai-alai matches and bet on them successfully.
