Modeling Decisions - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Modeling Decisions write by Vicenç Torra. This book was released on 2007-05-11. Modeling Decisions available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. This book covers the underlying science and application issues related to aggregation operators, focusing on tools used in practical applications that involve numerical information. It will thus be required reading for engineers, statisticians and computer scientists of all kinds. Starting with detailed introductions to information fusion and integration, measurement and probability theory, fuzzy sets, and functional equations, the authors then cover numerous topics in detail, including the synthesis of judgements, fuzzy measures, weighted means and fuzzy integrals.
Probability Models for Economic Decisions, second edition
Probability Models for Economic Decisions, second edition - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Probability Models for Economic Decisions, second edition write by Roger B. Myerson. This book was released on 2019-12-17. Probability Models for Economic Decisions, second edition available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. An introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risk and economic decisions, using spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty. This textbook offers an introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risks and economic decisions. It takes a learn-by-doing approach, teaching the student to use spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty and to analyze the effect of such uncertainty on an economic decision. Students in applied business and economics can more easily grasp difficult analytical methods with Excel spreadsheets. The book covers the basic ideas of probability, how to simulate random variables, and how to compute conditional probabilities via Monte Carlo simulation. The first four chapters use a large collection of probability distributions to simulate a range of problems involving worker efficiency, market entry, oil exploration, repeated investment, and subjective belief elicitation. The book then covers correlation and multivariate normal random variables; conditional expectation; optimization of decision variables, with discussions of the strategic value of information, decision trees, game theory, and adverse selection; risk sharing and finance; dynamic models of growth; dynamic models of arrivals; and model risk. New material in this second edition includes two new chapters on additional dynamic models and model risk; new sections in every chapter; many new end-of-chapter exercises; and coverage of such topics as simulation model workflow, models of probabilistic electoral forecasting, and real options. The book comes equipped with Simtools, an open-source, free software used througout the book, which allows students to conduct Monte Carlo simulations seamlessly in Excel.
Decision Modelling for Health Economic Evaluation
Decision Modelling for Health Economic Evaluation - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Decision Modelling for Health Economic Evaluation write by Andrew Briggs. This book was released on 2006-08-17. Decision Modelling for Health Economic Evaluation available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. In financially constrained health systems across the world, increasing emphasis is being placed on the ability to demonstrate that health care interventions are not only effective, but also cost-effective. This book deals with decision modelling techniques that can be used to estimate the value for money of various interventions including medical devices, surgical procedures, diagnostic technologies, and pharmaceuticals. Particular emphasis is placed on the importance of the appropriate representation of uncertainty in the evaluative process and the implication this uncertainty has for decision making and the need for future research. This highly practical guide takes the reader through the key principles and approaches of modelling techniques. It begins with the basics of constructing different forms of the model, the population of the model with input parameter estimates, analysis of the results, and progression to the holistic view of models as a valuable tool for informing future research exercises. Case studies and exercises are supported with online templates and solutions. This book will help analysts understand the contribution of decision-analytic modelling to the evaluation of health care programmes. ABOUT THE SERIES: Economic evaluation of health interventions is a growing specialist field, and this series of practical handbooks will tackle, in-depth, topics superficially addressed in more general health economics books. Each volume will include illustrative material, case histories and worked examples to encourage the reader to apply the methods discussed, with supporting material provided online. This series is aimed at health economists in academia, the pharmaceutical industry and the health sector, those on advanced health economics courses, and health researchers in associated fields.
Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence
Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence write by Vicenc Torra. This book was released on 2004-07-22. Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the First International Conference on Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence, MDAI 2004, held in Barcelona, Spain in August 2004. The 26 revised full papers presented together with 4 invited papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 53 submissions. The papers are devoted to topics like models for information fusion, aggregation operators, model selection, fuzzy integrals, fuzzy sets, fuzzy multisets, neural learning, rule-based classification systems, fuzzy association rules, algorithmic learning, diagnosis, text categorization, unsupervised aggregation, the Choquet integral, group decision making, preference relations, vague knowledge processing, etc.
Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence
Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence write by Vicenç Torra. This book was released on . Modeling Decisions for Artificial Intelligence available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
