Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things, Second Edition - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things, Second Edition write by Ray Fair. This book was released on 2011-12-14. Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things, Second Edition available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. "It's the economy, stupid," as Democratic strategist James Carville would say. After many years of study, Ray C. Fair has found that the state of the economy has a dominant influence on national elections. Just in time for the 2012 presidential election, this new edition of his classic text, Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things, provides us with a look into the likely future of our nation's political landscape—but Fair doesn't stop there. Fair puts other national issues under the microscope as well—including congressional elections, Federal Reserve behavior, and inflation. In addition he covers topics well beyond today's headlines, as the book takes on questions of more direct, personal interest such as wine quality, predicting football games, and aging effects in baseball. Which of your friends is most likely to have an extramarital affair? How important is class attendance for academic performance in college? How fast can you expect to run a race or perform some physical task at age 55, given your time at age 30? Read Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things and find out! As Fair works his way through an incredibly broad range of questions and topics, he teaches and delights. The discussion that underlies each chapter topic moves from formulating theories about real world phenomena to lessons on how to analyze data, test theories, and make predictions. At the end of this book, readers will walk away with more than mere predictions. They will have learned a new approach to thinking about many age-old concerns in public and private life, and will have a myriad of fun facts to share.
Predicting the Next President
Predicting the Next President - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Predicting the Next President write by Allan J. Lichtman. This book was released on 2024-07-01. Predicting the Next President available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016. In the updated 2024 edition, he applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!
Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things
Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things write by Ray C. Fair. This book was released on 2002. Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
Who Will be in the White House?
Who Will be in the White House? - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Who Will be in the White House? write by Randall J. Jones. This book was released on 2002. Who Will be in the White House? available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Presenting models for making predictions about presidential elections, this brief supplementary text is accessible to students without a statistical background and features discussions of Election 2000 throughout. Well-grounded in elections theory, this new text introduces students to the major models used to forecast presidential elections and covers a variety of topics through that lens: approval ratings, exit polls, election cycles, nomination process and campaigns, performance of the economy, etc. Lucidly written, it offers an abundance of figures to illustrate concepts to students and include an easy-to-understand explanation of regression so that no prior knowledge of statistics is necessary to read the text. Professor Jones not only summarizes and utilizes the forecasting techniques employed by experts in the past, but brings in new techniques and tools, making a valuable contribution to the methodologies of presidential election forecasting.
The Keys to the White House
The Keys to the White House - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Keys to the White House write by Allan J. Lichtman. This book was released on 2005. The Keys to the White House available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Prominent political analyst and historian Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or keys that have successfully predicted the outcome of presidential elections from 1860 to 2004. Read this book not only for a surprising look at the electoral process, but also for tips on calling the election in 2008.
