The Great Mental Models, Volume 1 - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Great Mental Models, Volume 1 write by Shane Parrish. This book was released on 2024-10-15. The Great Mental Models, Volume 1 available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast. This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you. Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields. Mastering a small number of mental models enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others miss, and avoid the common mistakes that hold people back. The Great Mental Models: Volume 1, General Thinking Concepts shows you how making a few tiny changes in the way you think can deliver big results. Drawing on examples from history, business, art, and science, this book details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making and productivity. This book will teach you how to: Avoid blind spots when looking at problems. Find non-obvious solutions. Anticipate and achieve desired outcomes. Play to your strengths, avoid your weaknesses, … and more. The Great Mental Models series demystifies once elusive concepts and illuminates rich knowledge that traditional education overlooks. This series is the most comprehensive and accessible guide on using mental models to better understand our world, solve problems, and gain an advantage.
Probabilistic Thinking
Probabilistic Thinking - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Probabilistic Thinking write by Egan J. Chernoff. This book was released on 2013-12-05. Probabilistic Thinking available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. This volume provides a necessary, current and extensive analysis of probabilistic thinking from a number of mathematicians, mathematics educators, and psychologists. The work of 58 contributing authors, investigating probabilistic thinking across the globe, is encapsulated in 6 prefaces, 29 chapters and 6 commentaries. Ultimately, the four main perspectives presented in this volume (Mathematics and Philosophy, Psychology, Stochastics and Mathematics Education) are designed to represent probabilistic thinking in a greater context.
The Intuitive Sources of Probabilistic Thinking in Children
The Intuitive Sources of Probabilistic Thinking in Children - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Intuitive Sources of Probabilistic Thinking in Children write by H. Fischbein. This book was released on 1975-11-30. The Intuitive Sources of Probabilistic Thinking in Children available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. About a year ago I promised my friend Fischbein a preface to his book of which I knew the French manuscript. Now with the printer's proofs under my eyes I like the book even better than I did then, because of, and influenced by, new experiences in the meantime, and fresh thoughts that crossed my mind. Have I been influenced by what I remembered from the manuscript? If so, it must have happened unconsciously. But of course, what struck me in this work a year ago, struck a responsive chord in my own mind. In the past, mathematics teaching theory has strongly been influenced by a view on mathematics as a heap of concepts, and on learning mathematics as concepts attainment. Mathematics teaching practice has been jeopardised by this theoretical approach, which in its most dangerous form expresses itself as a radical atomism. To concepts attainment Fischbein opposes acquisition of intuitions. In my own publications I avoided the word "intuition" because of the variety of its meanings across languages. For some time I have used the term "constitution of mathematical objects", which I think means the same as Fischbein's "acquisition of intuitions" - indeed as I view it, constituting a mental object precedes its conceptualising, and under this viewpoint I tried to observe mathematical activities of young children.
Thinking Probabilistically
Thinking Probabilistically - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Thinking Probabilistically write by Ariel Amir. This book was released on 2020-12-17. Thinking Probabilistically available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. An introductory text providing the reader with a thorough background to the rich world of applications of stochastic processes.
Cognition and Chance
Cognition and Chance - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Cognition and Chance write by Raymond S. Nickerson. This book was released on 2004-06-24. Cognition and Chance available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Lack of ability to think probabilistically makes one prone to a variety of irrational fears and vulnerable to scams designed to exploit probabilistic naiveté, impairs decision making under uncertainty, facilitates the misinterpretation of statistical information, and precludes critical evaluation of likelihood claims. Cognition and Chance presents an overview of the information needed to avoid such pitfalls and to assess and respond to probabilistic situations in a rational way. Dr. Nickerson investigates such questions as how good individuals are at thinking probabilistically and how consistent their reasoning under uncertainty is with principles of mathematical statistics and probability theory. He reviews evidence that has been produced in researchers' attempts to investigate these and similar types of questions. Seven conceptual chapters address such topics as probability, chance, randomness, coincidences, inverse probability, paradoxes, dilemmas, and statistics. The remaining five chapters focus on empirical studies of individuals' abilities and limitations as probabilistic thinkers. Topics include estimation and prediction, perception of covariation, choice under uncertainty, and people as intuitive probabilists. Cognition and Chance is intended to appeal to researchers and students in the areas of probability, statistics, psychology, business, economics, decision theory, and social dilemmas.
