Resumo Estendido: A Lógica Do Cisne Negro (The Black Swan) - Baseado No Livro De Nassim Nicholas Taleb - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Resumo Estendido: A Lógica Do Cisne Negro (The Black Swan) - Baseado No Livro De Nassim Nicholas Taleb write by Mentors Library. This book was released on 2020. Resumo Estendido: A Lógica Do Cisne Negro (The Black Swan) - Baseado No Livro De Nassim Nicholas Taleb available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle.
The Black Swan
The Black Swan - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Black Swan write by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. This book was released on 2009-10-13. The Black Swan available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. In the author's point of view, a black swan is an improbable event with three principal characteristics - It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'.
A lógica do cisne negro
A lógica do cisne negro - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook A lógica do cisne negro write by Nassim Taleb. This book was released on 2008. A lógica do cisne negro available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. O que o sucesso do Google e o 11 de Setembro têm em comum, segundo Nassim Nicholas Taleb? Os dois são exemplos claros de um cisne negro - um evento imprevisível, impactante e que é a base de quase tudo sobre o mundo, da ascensão das religiões à vida pessoal. Em 'A lógica do cisne negro', o autor retoma temas como sorte, incerteza, probabilidade e conhecimento. Nesta obra, o leitor aprenderá a tirar proveito de cisnes negros e ter outra visão de mundo.
The Black Swan
The Black Swan - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Black Swan write by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. This book was released on 2007. The Black Swan available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Startling, Profound And Universal, The Black Swan Will Change The Way You Look At The World. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Bestselling Author Of Fooled By Randomness, Black Swans Underlie Almost Everything, From The Rise Of Religions, To Events In Our Own Personal Lives. A Black Swan Is A Highly Improbable Event With Three Principle Characteristics: Its Unpredictability; Its Massive Impact; And, After It Has Happened, Our Desire To Make It Appear Less Random And More Predictable Than It Was. The Astonishing Success Of Google Was A Black Swan; So Was 9/11. Why Do We Not Acknowledge The Phenomenon Of Black Swans? Why Are We Unable To Estimate Risk: Falling Vulnerable To The Impulse To Simplify, Narrate And Categorize, Rather Than Opening Ourselves Up To The &Lsquo;Impossible&Rsquo;? For Years, Taleb Has Studied How We Fool Ourselves Into Thinking We Know More Than We Actually Do, Restricting Our Knowledge To The Irrelevant And Inconsequential, So That Large Events Continue To Surprise Us An Shape Our World. We May Even Be Hard-Wired To Learn Specifics When We Should Be Focused On Generalities. Now In This Revelatory Book, He Explains Everything We Know About What We Don&Rsquo;T Know. Taleb Is A Vastly Entertaining Writer, With Wit, Irreverence, And Unusual Stories To Tell. He Has A Polymathic Command Of Subjects Ranging From Cognitive Science To Business To Probability Theory. The Black Swan Is A Landmark Book-It Might Even Be A Black Swan.
The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Summary)
The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Summary) - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Summary) write by QuickRead. This book was released on . The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Summary) available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Do you want more free book summaries like this? Download our app for free at https://www.QuickRead.com/App and get access to hundreds of free book and audiobook summaries. The Impact of the Highly Improbable. Just because you haven’t seen something doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist, right? Well, Nassim Nicholas Taleb uses this exact logic to explain the Black Swans that happen in our society. A Black Swan is an improbable or highly unlikely event that has three principal characteristics. The first two are that it is unpredictable and it carries a massive impact. The third is the ability to construct an explanation after the fact to make it appear less random, and more predictable. Think of events like 9/11 or the invention of Google. These Black Swans, while unpredictable and impactful, could easily be explained in the moments following the event. Black Swans like these underlie almost everything about the world. But why can’t we acknowledge them until after they occur? Well, according to Taleb, humans are simply hardwired to focus on the details rather than see the big picture. We concentrate only on what we know and understand; therefore, we are unable to conceptualize the impossible. As you read, you’ll learn that we can learn a thing or two from turkeys, you'll see how a casino's greatest threat isn't high-rolling gamblers, and how focusing on what we don't know is critical for making informed decisions.
