Smart Things to Know About Decision Making - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Smart Things to Know About Decision Making write by Ken Langdon. This book was released on 2012-08-15. Smart Things to Know About Decision Making available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Decision trees or backing a hunch - smart advice on the art and science of decision making.
Smart Choices
Smart Choices - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Smart Choices write by John S. Hammond. This book was released on 2015-08. Smart Choices available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Where should I live? Is it time to get a new job? Which job candidate should I hire? What business strategy should I pursue? We spend the majority of our lives making decisions, both big and small. Yet, even though our success is largely determined by the choices that we make, very few of us are equipped with useful decision-making skills. Because of this, we often approach our choices tentatively, or even fearfully, and avoid giving them the time and thought required to put our best foot forward. In Smart Choices, John Hammond, Ralph Keeney, and Howard Raiffa--experts with over 100 years of experience resolving complex decision problems--offer a proven, straightforward, and flexible roadmap for making better and more impactful decisions, and offer the tools to achieve your goals in every aspect of your life. Their step-by-step, divide-and conquer approach will teach you how to: * Evaluate your plans * Break your potential decision into its key elements * Identify the key drivers that are most relevant to your goals * Apply systematic thinking * Use the right information to make the smartest choice Smart Choices doesn’t tell you what to decide; it tells you how. As you routinely use the process, you’ll become more confident in your ability to make decisions at work and at home. And, more importantly, by applying its time-tested methods, you’ll make better decisions going forward. Be proactive. Don’t wait until a decision is forced on you--or made for you. Seek out decisions that advance your long-term goals, values, and beliefs. Take charge of your life by making Smart Choices a lifetime habit.
Smart Things to Know About, Decision Making
Smart Things to Know About, Decision Making - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Smart Things to Know About, Decision Making write by Ken Langdon. This book was released on 2001-10-30. Smart Things to Know About, Decision Making available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. A long awaited second edition of the book which has sold tens of thousands in e-book format and helped business students and professionals all over the world make smarter decisions. Smart Things to Know About Decision Making takes a look at all types of decisions we must make, from the mundane to the insane. Smart decision-makers have the guts to size up a situation, look at the alternatives and decide. They alleviate the risk by using a process to come to the best decision. Smart Things to Know About Decision Making reveals a five step process to help make successful decisions: • Preparing to decide – Define the purpose and take a preliminary look at the financial case • Creating options – Never assume that there is only one possible way of solving a problem • Evaluating the options – Create the criteria that needs to be met and analyse the risks • Making the decision – Phew. That was the hard part • Implementing the decision – Your decision is not complete until you’ve created an action plan, recorded and re-evaluated your decision This new edition contains updated examples, links and content including pedagogical exercises to assist learning.
The Great Mental Models, Volume 1
The Great Mental Models, Volume 1 - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Great Mental Models, Volume 1 write by Shane Parrish. This book was released on 2024-10-15. The Great Mental Models, Volume 1 available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast. This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you. Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields. Mastering a small number of mental models enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others miss, and avoid the common mistakes that hold people back. The Great Mental Models: Volume 1, General Thinking Concepts shows you how making a few tiny changes in the way you think can deliver big results. Drawing on examples from history, business, art, and science, this book details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making and productivity. This book will teach you how to: Avoid blind spots when looking at problems. Find non-obvious solutions. Anticipate and achieve desired outcomes. Play to your strengths, avoid your weaknesses, … and more. The Great Mental Models series demystifies once elusive concepts and illuminates rich knowledge that traditional education overlooks. This series is the most comprehensive and accessible guide on using mental models to better understand our world, solve problems, and gain an advantage.
Thinking in Bets
Thinking in Bets - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Thinking in Bets write by Annie Duke. This book was released on 2019-05-07. Thinking in Bets available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. A Wall Street Journal bestseller, now in paperback. Poker champion turned decision strategist Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions. Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there's always information hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes, and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate, and successful in the long run.
