The Credibility of the ECB's Inflation Target in Times of Corona - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Credibility of the ECB's Inflation Target in Times of Corona write by Winnie Coleman. This book was released on 2020. The Credibility of the ECB's Inflation Target in Times of Corona available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Evidence on the credibility of a central bank's inflation target typically refers to the anchoring of survey-based measures of inflation expectations. However, both the survey question and the anchoring criteria are only loosely connected to the actual inflation target used in monetary policy practice. By using the exact wording of the ECB's definition of price-stability, we started a representative online survey of German citizens in January 2019 that is designed to measure the time-varying credibility of the inflation target. Our results indicate that credibility has significantly decreased in our sample period, particularly in the course of the coronavirus pandemic. Interestingly, even though inflation rates in Germany have been clearly below 2% for several years, credibility has declined mainly because Germans increasingly expect that inflation will be much higher than 2% over the medium term.
Inflation Target Credibility in Times of High Inflation
Inflation Target Credibility in Times of High Inflation - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Inflation Target Credibility in Times of High Inflation write by Winnie Coleman. This book was released on 2022. Inflation Target Credibility in Times of High Inflation available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. We use a representative online survey to investigate the inflation expectations of German consumers and the credibility of the ECB's inflation target during the recent high inflation period. We find that credibility has trended downwards since summer 2021, reaching an all-time low in April 2022. The high correlation between inflation expectations and the actual rate of inflation strongly indicate that inflation expectations have been de-anchored from the inflation target. With increasing inflation, German consumers are more convinced that - in contrast to the ECB's inflation target - inflation will be well above 2% over the medium term.
Inflation Expectations
Inflation Expectations - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Inflation Expectations write by Peter J. N. Sinclair. This book was released on 2009-12-16. Inflation Expectations available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.
The Birth of the Euro
The Birth of the Euro - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Birth of the Euro write by Otmar Issing. This book was released on 2008-09-18. The Birth of the Euro available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Today, 318 million people in 15 countries use the Euro, which now rivals the importance of the US Dollar in the world economy. This is an outcome that few would have predicted with confidence when the Euro was launched. How can we explain this success and what are the prospects for the future? There is nobody better placed to answer these questions than Otmar Issing, who as a founding member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank (1998–2006), was one of the Euro's principal architects. His story is a unique insider account, combining personal memoir with reference to the academic and policy literature. Free of jargon, this is a very human reflection on a unique historical experiment and a key reference for all academics, policy makers, and 'Eurowatchers' seeking to understand how the Euro has got to where it is today and what challenges lie ahead.
Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence
Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence write by Mr.Rudolfs Bems. This book was released on 2018-12-11. Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Understanding the sources of inflation persistence is crucial for monetary policy. This paper provides an empirical assessment of the influence of inflation expectations' anchoring on the persistence of inflation. We construct a novel index of inflation expectations' anchoring using survey-based inflation forecasts for 45 economies starting in 1989. We then study the response of consumer prices to terms-of-trade shocks for countries with flexible exchange rates. We find that these shocks have a significant and persistent effect on consumer price inflation when expectations are poorly anchored. By contrast, inflation reacts by less and returns quickly to its pre-shock level when expectations are strongly anchored.
