The Science of Conjecture - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Science of Conjecture write by James Franklin. This book was released on 2015-08. The Science of Conjecture available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.
Uncle Petros and Goldbach's Conjecture
Uncle Petros and Goldbach's Conjecture - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Uncle Petros and Goldbach's Conjecture write by Apostolos Doxiadis. This book was released on 2012-11-15. Uncle Petros and Goldbach's Conjecture available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Uncle Petros is a family joke. An ageing recluse, he lives alone in a suburb of Athens, playing chess and tending to his garden. If you didn't know better, you'd surely think he was one of life's failures. But his young nephew suspects otherwise. For Uncle Petros, he discovers, was once a celebrated mathematician, brilliant and foolhardy enough to stake everything on solving a problem that had defied all attempts at proof for nearly three centuries - Goldbach's Conjecture. His quest brings him into contact with some of the century's greatest mathematicians, including the Indian prodigy Ramanujan and the young Alan Turing. But his struggle is lonely and single-minded, and by the end it has apparently destroyed his life. Until that is a final encounter with his nephew opens up to Petros, once more, the deep mysterious beauty of mathematics. Uncle Petros and Goldbach's Conjecture is an inspiring novel of intellectual adventure, proud genius, the exhilaration of pure mathematics - and the rivalry and antagonism which torment those who pursue impossible goals.
The Science of Conjecture
The Science of Conjecture - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Science of Conjecture write by James Franklin. This book was released on 2015-08-01. The Science of Conjecture available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.
Conjectures and Refutations
Conjectures and Refutations - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Conjectures and Refutations write by Karl Raimund Popper. This book was released on 2002. Conjectures and Refutations available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Conjectures and Refutations is one of Karl Popper's most wide-ranging and popular works, notable not only for its acute insight into the way scientific knowledge grows, but also for applying those insights to politics and to history. It provides one of the clearest and most accessible statements of the fundamental idea that guided his work: not only our knowledge, but our aims and our standards, grow through an unending process of trial and error.
The Art of Causal Conjecture
The Art of Causal Conjecture - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Art of Causal Conjecture write by Glenn Shafer. This book was released on 1996. The Art of Causal Conjecture available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. In The Art of Causal Conjecture, Glenn Shafer lays out a new mathematical and philosophical foundation for probability and uses it to explain concepts of causality used in statistics, artificial intelligence, and philosophy. The various disciplines that use causal reasoning differ in the relative weight they put on security and precision of knowledge as opposed to timeliness of action. The natural and social sciences seek high levels of certainty in the identification of causes and high levels of precision in the measurement of their effects. The practical sciences -- medicine, business, engineering, and artificial intelligence -- must act on causal conjectures based on more limited knowledge. Shafer's understanding of causality contributes to both of these uses of causal reasoning. His language for causal explanation can guide statistical investigation in the natural and social sciences, and it can also be used to formulate assumptions of causal uniformity needed for decision making in the practical sciences. Causal ideas permeate the use of probability and statistics in all branches of industry, commerce, government, and science. The Art of Causal Conjecture shows that causal ideas can be equally important in theory. It does not challenge the maxim that causation cannot be proven from statistics alone, but by bringing causal ideas into the foundations of probability, it allows causal conjectures to be more clearly quantified, debated, and confronted by statistical evidence.
