Was There a Bubble in the 1929 Stock Market?

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Release : 2002
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Was There a Bubble in the 1929 Stock Market? - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Was There a Bubble in the 1929 Stock Market? write by Peter Rappoport. This book was released on 2002. Was There a Bubble in the 1929 Stock Market? available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Standard tests find that no bubbles are present in the stock price data for the last one hundred years. In contrast., historical accounts, focusing on briefer periods, point to the stock market of 1928-1929 as a classic example of a bubble. While previous studies have restricted their attention to the joint behavior of stock prices and dividends over the course of a century, this paper uses the behavior of the premia demanded on loans collateralized by the purchase of stocks to evaluate the claim that the boom and crash of 1929 represented a bubble. We develop a model that permits us to extract an estimate of the path of the bubble and its probability of bursting in any period and demonstrate that the premium behaves as would be expected in the presence of a bubble in stock prices. We also find that our estimate of the bubble's path has explanatory power when added to the standard cointegrating regressions of stock prices and dividends, in spite of the fact that our stock price and dividend series are cointegrated.

Was There a Bubble in the 1929 Stock Market?

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Author :
Release : 1991
Genre : Brokers' loans
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Was There a Bubble in the 1929 Stock Market? - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook Was There a Bubble in the 1929 Stock Market? write by Peter Rappoport. This book was released on 1991. Was There a Bubble in the 1929 Stock Market? available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Standard tests find that no bubbles are present in the stock price data for the last one hundred years. In contrast., historical accounts, focusing on briefer periods, point to the stock market of 1928-1929 as a classic example of a bubble. While previous studies have restricted their attention to the joint behavior of stock prices and dividends over the course of a century, this paper uses the behavior of the premia demanded on loans collateralized by the purchase of stocks to evaluate the claim that the boom and crash of 1929 represented a bubble. We develop a model that permits us to extract an estimate of the path of the bubble and its probability of bursting in any period and demonstrate that the premium behaves as would be expected in the presence of a bubble in stock prices. We also find that our estimate of the bubble's path has explanatory power when added to the standard cointegrating regressions of stock prices and dividends, in spite of the fact that our stock price and dividend series are cointegrated.

The Stock Market Boom and Crash of 1929 Was Not a Bubble

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Release : 2019-10-23
Genre : Business & Economics
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Book Rating : 033/5 ( reviews)

The Stock Market Boom and Crash of 1929 Was Not a Bubble - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Stock Market Boom and Crash of 1929 Was Not a Bubble write by Bernard C. Beaudreau. This book was released on 2019-10-23. The Stock Market Boom and Crash of 1929 Was Not a Bubble available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. In the aftermath of the stock market crash of 1929, Yale University Economics Professor Irving Fisher remained steadfast in his view that the boom in prices had been warranted, pointing to the myriad innovations of the 1920s, including the introduction of the electric unit drive and utility-supplied power. Dismissed by most, this view has since given way to Alan Greenspan’s view of irrational exuberance. This book presents a series of contemporary and period writings which rehabilitate the fundamentals view, showing why Irving Fisher was right. Whereas Fisher was unable to provide a convincing narrative for the crash, these writings point to the Hoover Administration’s tariff initiative, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Bill, as the key element which contributed to both the boom and the crash.

The Great Crash, 1929

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Release : 1961
Genre : Depressions
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The Great Crash, 1929 - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Great Crash, 1929 write by John Kenneth Galbraith. This book was released on 1961. The Great Crash, 1929 available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. John Kenneth Galbraith's classic study of the Wall Street Crash of 1929.

The Causes of the 1929 Stock Market Crash

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Release : 1998-04-16
Genre : Business & Economics
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Book Rating : 993/5 ( reviews)

The Causes of the 1929 Stock Market Crash - read free eBook in online reader or directly download on the web page. Select files or add your book in reader. Download and read online ebook The Causes of the 1929 Stock Market Crash write by Harold Bierman Jr.. This book was released on 1998-04-16. The Causes of the 1929 Stock Market Crash available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Attempting to reveal the real causes of the 1929 stock market crash, Bierman refutes the popular belief that wild speculation had excessively driven up stock market prices and resulted in the crash. Although he acknowledges some prices of stocks such as utilities and banks were overprices, reasonable explanations exist for the level and increase of all other securities stock prices. Indeed, if stocks were overpriced in 1929, then they more even more overpriced in the current era of staggering growth in stock prices and investment in securities. The causes of the 1929 crash, Bierman argues, lie in an unfavorable decision by the Massachusetts Department of Public Utilities coupled with the popular practice known as debt leverage in the 1920s corporate and investment arena. This book extends Bierman's argument in an earlier book, The Great Myths of 1929 and the Lessons to Be Learned (Greenwood, 1991), in which he discussed and refuted seven myths about 1929 but could not explain the crash. He now believes he has a reasonable explanation. He also examines the actions of Charles E. Mitchell and Sam Insull and their subsequent unjust criminal prosecution after the crash of the 1929 stock market.